2024 NFL playoff picture AFC NFC seed projections chances
We re looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could line up en route to Super Bowl LIX
Bottom 10 Defense a lost cause in Carolina
We're through Week 1 of the 2024 NFL regular season, and while the postseason is still months away, we're taking an early look at the current playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LIX.
Which teams are already in good shape at this point? Which ones still have a lot of work to do to ultimately get into the 14-team field? We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch the division and even make the Super Bowl. Here's everything you need right now.
Last update: Sept. 13 at 8:25 a.m. ET
Jump to a conference:
AFC | NFC
Projecting the AFC playoff field
After a close win over the Ravens on the opening night of the NFL season, the Chiefs currently have the league's highest percentage chance to make the playoffs at 91%. Baltimore, despite the win, has the best chance to make the playoffs among 0-1 teams at 60% (eighth-highest overall and fourth-highest in the conference).
But what happened to the Bengals? They entered the season with the fifth-best chance to make the postseason at 66%. After their Week 1 loss to the Patriots, they now rank 10th (and sixth in the AFC) at 45%. Joe Burrow and his Cincinnati team have some work to do.
On Thursday night, the Bills helped their cause by beating the Dolphins on the road. They are now at 78% to make the playoffs (fifth-highest overall and second-best in the AFC), while Miami fell to 54% (ninth overall and fifth in the conference).
New England entered the season with the NFL's lowest odds to make the playoffs, per ESPN's FPI (6%). Now? The Pats are up to 16% -- 28th overall and 14th in the AFC.
Projecting the NFC playoff field
After their win against the Jets on Monday night, the 49ers now have a 84% chance to make the playoffs -- which is tops in the NFC. Detroit rose from 70% to 79% with a Sunday night win over the Rams, and the Eagles sit at 83% after beating the Packers.
The NFC South could be a division to watch. The Falcons came into Week 1 with a 60% chance to make the playoffs and a 34% chance to win the division. Those numbers are now 39% and 24%, respectively, after Pittsburgh stymied the Kirk Cousins-led offense. Meanwhile, the Saints and Buccaneers are both over 50% to make the playoffs after big Week 1 wins.
Things don't look great for the Panthers and Giants. Both teams are below 6% to make the playoffs after just one game. Bryce Young and Daniel Jones combined for zero touchdown throws, four interceptions and nine sacks in their Week 1 outings.
NFL playoff schedule
Jan. 11-13: Wild-card round
Jan. 18-19: Divisional round
Jan. 26: AFC and NFC championship games
Feb. 9: Super Bowl LIX (in New Orleans)
France brushed off allegations of match-fixing after their 4-1 defeat by Iran sent them into a softer part of the draw at the Futsal World Cup in Uzbekistan
Former Real Madrid and Manchester United defender Rapha l Varane has retired from football after suffering a knee injury on his debut at Serie A side Como
Pep Guardiola has said Manchester City will not waste energy on the Carabao Cup this season and will instead focus on the Premier League and Champions League
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Mikel Arteta has some tough decisions to make when it comes to Arsenal's \nmidfield against Leicester City.","Steve Cooper confirms Leicester injury situation ahead of Arsenal clash? Leicester boss Steve Cooper has confirmed that he is not expecting any \nplayers to return from injury before Saturday's trip to Arsenal.","Sutton's predictions: Arsenal v Leicester? Chris Sutton is making predictions for all 380 Premier League matches this \nseason, against a variety of guests. For week six, he takes on","How to watch Chelsea vs Brighton on US TV and live streaming? Here are all of the details of where you can watch Chelsea vs Brighton on \nUS television and via legal streaming:","Alan Shearer predicts Arsenal will make massive change after Man City drama? Arsenal take on Leicester City in the Premier League looking to continue \ntheir unbeaten start to the season after recording a dramatic draw","3 talking points ahead of Arsenal vs Leicester? Riccardo Calafiori and Jurrien Timber started at left-back and right-back \nrespectively against Manchester City and should continue in these","Premier League Chelsea versus Brighton & Hove Albion kick off 15:00 Sat 28 \nSep 2024? Follow live text commentary, score updates and match stats from Chelsea vs \nBrighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.","Chelsea vs. Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League: Live blog; highlights? Chelsea look to make it four wins in a row, three in the league, and five \ngames unbeaten overall in all competitions.","Chelsea vs Brighton \u2013 Team News: Malo Gusto returns? Chelsea face Brighton at Stamford Bridge in just under an hour, and the \nteams are in!It's the exact lineup we were expecting, with just one","Noni Madueke and Moises Caicedo drop Chelsea team news hint as Enzo Maresca \nconfirms injury blow? Chelsea will be looking to extend their winning streak when they welcome \nBrighton to Stamford Bridge.","Confirmed Chelsea line up vs Brighton and Hove Albion | News | Official Site? Enzo Maresca has made ten changes to his Chelsea side for this afternoon's \nPremier League clash against Brighton and Hove Albion at Stamford","Chelsea vs Brighton: LIVE Updates, watch live, score, analysis, highlights? The top-four pushes of Chelsea and Brighton go head-to-head at Stamford \nBridge on Saturday, where Enzo Maresca's long clean sheet streak","How to watch Chelsea vs. Brighton in UK: Live stream, channel, start time, \nlineups for Premier League match? Chelsea host Brighton for the Premier League clash at Stamford Bridge, \nLondon on Saturday. The home-team come into the tie having scored","The key attacking, defensive and goalkeeping stats behind Chelsea\u2019s good \nstart? Chelsea's stat pack for today's game against Brighton makes fascinating \nreading. The Blues are in good form and the numbers back that up.","Liverpool vs. Wolves LIVE STREAM (9\/28\/24): Time, TV, channel for Premier \nLeague? Liverpool face Wolverhampton in a Premier League game on Saturday, \nSeptember 28, 2024 (9\/28\/24) at Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton,","Chelsea boss Maresca speaks on injury prone Lavia? The midfielder has barely featured for the club so far this term, despite \nhaving been fit in preseason. Advertisement. Advertisement.","Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs. Leganes - prediction, team news, lineups? Rayo Vallecano will be looking to stretch their unbeaten run in La Liga to \nfour matches when they continue their 2024-25 campaign at home to","Rayo Vallecano vs. Leganes Prediction by Proven Computer Model [9\/28\/2024]? Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Leganes La \nLiga game on September 28, 2024 is featured below.","Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes: Match Preview and Prediction? Date: September 28, 2024 Time: 17:15. Location: Madrid, Vallecas. La Liga \n2024-25, Matchday 8Rayo Vallecano \u2013 LeganesWhere to Watch: MEGOGO,","Watch Rayo Vallecano vs. CD Leganes Online: Live Stream, Start Time? The upcoming match between Rayo Vallecano and CD Leganes is set to see the \n10th-placed Vallecano take on 15th-placed Leganes.","Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes Prediction and Betting Tips | September 28th 2024? Rayo Vallecano will welcome Leganes to the Estadio de Vallecas in La Liga \non Saturday. Vallecano have two wins in seven games and are in","Watch Rayo Vallecano vs. CD Leganes Online: Live Stream, Start Time? Discover how to live stream and get game time information for the LaLiga \nmatchup between Rayo Vallecano and CD Leganes.","Rayo Vallecano vs. Leganes Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [9\/28\/2024]? Rayo Vallecano and Leganes will lock horns in La Liga at Estadio de \nVallecas on Saturday, with kickoff at 10:15AM ET.","Best Bets Today for All Sports: Saturday's Picks Include Leganes vs. Rayo \nVallecano La Liga Play [9\/28\/2024]? Another big day of sports is upon us, with our innovative computer model \nworking hard to provide you with the best bets for Saturday,","Best Bets Today for All Sports: Friday's Picks Include Leganes vs. Rayo \nVallecano La Liga Play [9\/27\/2024]? Another great day of sports is upon us, with our revolutionary computer \nmodel working hard to provide you with the best bets for Friday,","UEFA Women\u2019s Champions League 2024: Big returns, historic firsts, and how \nto watch every match for free on DAZN? The UEFA Women's Champions League (UWCL) is back and bigger than ever, with \nthe 2024 group stage promising to deliver some of the best","European champion Barcelona gets Man City in group stage of Women\u2019s \nChampions League? NYON, Switzerland (AP) \u2014 Two-time defending champion Barcelona will play \nManchester City in a Women's Champions League group after the","UWCL group stage draw: Stefano Braghin's comments? After Juventus Women's First Team's excellent two-legged victory against \nPSG in Round 2 of the UEFA Women's Champions League, the draw for","Women's Champions League Draw: Chelsea and Celtic drawn together in group \nstage? Former finalists Chelsea and debutants Celtic are drawn together in the \ngroup stage of the Women's Champions League.","Women\u2019s Champions League: group-by-group analysis and predictions? Chelsea have a kind draw and Arsenal should progress despite a tricky group \nas Celtic face a huge challenge after reaching this stage for","Women's Champions League draw: Man City face Barca in group stage? NYON, Switzerland (AP) \u2014 Two-time defending champion Barcelona will play \nManchester City in a Women's Champions League group after the","Women's Champions League group stage draw made? Barcelona vs Man City, Lyon vs Wolfsburg and Bayern vs Arsenal are among \nthe fixtures set up by the group stage draw.","Women's Champions League draw: Man City to face holders Barcelona; Arsenal, \nChelsea and Celtic learn opponents? Womens Champions League kicks off on October 8 with debutants Man City in \nGroup D with last years winners Barcelona, SKN St Polten and","Real Madrid to face Chelsea, Twente and Celtic in Women's Champions League \nGroup B? Our team's first game will be played on 8 or 9 October, while the last \nclash is set for 17 or 18 December.","This is whom Real Madrid will face in the UWCL group stage? The group stage for the 2024\/2025 season of the UEFA Women's Champions \nLeague was held in Nyon today at 13:00 CEST (local time)."]
How to watch Arsenal vs. Leicester in Canada: Live stream, channel, time,
lineups for Premier League match? Arsenal vs. Leicester kickoff time: Here's how to watch the Premier League
match on TV and live stream in Canada as well as the latest team
How to watch Chelsea vs Brighton on US TV and live streaming? Here are all of the details of where you can watch Chelsea vs Brighton on
US television and via legal streaming:Chelsea vs. Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League: Live blog; highlights? Chelsea look to make it four wins in a row, three in the league, and five
games unbeaten overall in all competitions.
Chelsea vs Brighton: LIVE Updates, watch live, score, analysis, highlights? The top-four pushes of Chelsea and Brighton go head-to-head at Stamford
Bridge on Saturday, where Enzo Maresca's long clean sheet streak
Chelsea boss Maresca speaks on injury prone Lavia? The midfielder has barely featured for the club so far this term, despite
having been fit in preseason. Advertisement. Advertisement.Watch Rayo Vallecano vs. CD Leganes Online: Live Stream, Start Time? The upcoming match between Rayo Vallecano and CD Leganes is set to see the
10th-placed Vallecano take on 15th-placed Leganes.
Best Bets Today for All Sports: Saturday's Picks Include Leganes vs. Rayo
Vallecano La Liga Play [9/28/2024]? Another big day of sports is upon us, with our innovative computer model
working hard to provide you with the best bets for Saturday,
UWCL group stage draw: Stefano Braghin's comments? After Juventus Women's First Team's excellent two-legged victory against
PSG in Round 2 of the UEFA Women's Champions League, the draw forWomen's Champions League group stage draw made? Barcelona vs Man City, Lyon vs Wolfsburg and Bayern vs Arsenal are among
the fixtures set up by the group stage draw.