2024 NFL playoff picture AFC NFC seed projections chances
We re looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could line up en route to Super Bowl LIX
Bill Barnwell predicts the NFL playoffs: [608x342] (Credit: Illustration by ESPN)
Awesome in Australia Rahul Dravid vs Rishabh Pant in the final
We're through Week 1 of the 2024 NFL regular season, and while the postseason is still months away, we're taking an early look at the current playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LIX.
Which teams are already in good shape at this point? Which ones still have a lot of work to do to ultimately get into the 14-team field? We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch the division and even make the Super Bowl. Here's everything you need right now.
Last update: Sept. 13 at 8:25 a.m. ET
Jump to a conference:
AFC | NFC
Projecting the AFC playoff field
After a close win over the Ravens on the opening night of the NFL season, the Chiefs currently have the league's highest percentage chance to make the playoffs at 91%. Baltimore, despite the win, has the best chance to make the playoffs among 0-1 teams at 60% (eighth-highest overall and fourth-highest in the conference).
But what happened to the Bengals? They entered the season with the fifth-best chance to make the postseason at 66%. After their Week 1 loss to the Patriots, they now rank 10th (and sixth in the AFC) at 45%. Joe Burrow and his Cincinnati team have some work to do.
On Thursday night, the Bills helped their cause by beating the Dolphins on the road. They are now at 78% to make the playoffs (fifth-highest overall and second-best in the AFC), while Miami fell to 54% (ninth overall and fifth in the conference).
New England entered the season with the NFL's lowest odds to make the playoffs, per ESPN's FPI (6%). Now? The Pats are up to 16% -- 28th overall and 14th in the AFC.
Projecting the NFC playoff field
After their win against the Jets on Monday night, the 49ers now have a 84% chance to make the playoffs -- which is tops in the NFC. Detroit rose from 70% to 79% with a Sunday night win over the Rams, and the Eagles sit at 83% after beating the Packers.
The NFC South could be a division to watch. The Falcons came into Week 1 with a 60% chance to make the playoffs and a 34% chance to win the division. Those numbers are now 39% and 24%, respectively, after Pittsburgh stymied the Kirk Cousins-led offense. Meanwhile, the Saints and Buccaneers are both over 50% to make the playoffs after big Week 1 wins.
Things don't look great for the Panthers and Giants. Both teams are below 6% to make the playoffs after just one game. Bryce Young and Daniel Jones combined for zero touchdown throws, four interceptions and nine sacks in their Week 1 outings.
NFL playoff schedule
Jan. 11-13: Wild-card round
Jan. 18-19: Divisional round
Jan. 26: AFC and NFC championship games
Feb. 9: Super Bowl LIX (in New Orleans)
Ecuador and FC Cincinnati player Marco Angulo has died from his injuries sustained in a car crash that also killed his former youth team teammate Roberto Cabezas the Ecuadorian Football Association said on Tuesday
Neither team will read too much into how individuals have fared but there are broad team-level issues they may want to look into
["SpaceX launching 20 Starlink satellites from California tonight? SpaceX is set to launch 20 more of its Starlink internet satellites from \nCalifornia's Vandenberg Space Force Base tonight (Nov. 13).","Live coverage: SpaceX to launch 24 Starlink satellites on Falcon 9 rocket \nfrom Cape Canaveral? SpaceX is preparing to launch another batch of Starlink satellites from \nCape Canaveral Space Force Station moments after sunrise. The","SpaceX aims for back-to-back Florida launches on Monday? TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) \u2014 SpaceX completed launches of two rockets from \nFlorida's Space Coast on Monday afternoon, just hours apart. In the first","Elon Musk launches $52,000,000 SpaceX rockets that could change how we use \nthe internet forever? SpaceX is launching the next phase of its Starlink mission which could \nforever change how we use the internet. We've come a long way since","US: SpaceX Launches A South Korean Communications Satellite? Merritt Island, United States - November 11, 2024 A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket \nlaunches from Launch Complex-39A at NASA's Kennedy Space Center,","SpaceX \u2018one down of 13 Direct to Cell and three launches to go\u2019 to round \nout the constellation including Starlink Group 9-11 smallsats on Wednesday \n\u2013 SatNews? SpaceX will launch 20 Starlink smallsats to include 13 Direct to Cell from \nVandenberg on Wednesday, November 13 at 8:21 PM \u2013 12:21 AM PST","Launch Roundup: Falcon 9 launches customer payloads, China to fly resupply \nmission to Tiangong? While SpaceX is preparing to fly Starship on its sixth integrated test \nflight next week, the company flew one satellite and plans to fly","SpaceX launched new group of Internet satellites? SpaceX's Falcon 9 launch vehicle has launched another 24 Starlink \nsatellites designed for the orbital grouping of the global Internet","SCRUB!: SpaceX standing down from tonight's launch from Cape Canaveral \nSLC-40? Scrub recap: Scroll down for updates from the Starlink 6-69 mission launch \nattempt. It could have been the first of a potential launch","SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink Mission Finally Launches After Failed Attempts? The launch, originally scheduled for Sunday, finally took to the skies on \nThursday, delivering a payload of Starlink satellites into orbit.","Kings Three-Point Struggles Reaching Concerning Levels? The Sacramento Kings fell to the San Antonio Spurs 96-116 on Monday night, \ndropping to 6-5 on the season. It's not a terrible start to the","Keegan Murray & Jordan McLaughlin | Practice Interviews 11.9.24? Stay connected with the #SacramentoKings: Keegan Murray & Jordan McLaughlin \nspeak to the media following morning shootaround Wednesday,","Can the Sacramento Kings turn its three-point shooting around?? NBC Sports' Kayte Christensen joined Carmichael Dave and Jason Ross to \ndiscuss the current state of the Sacramento Kings.","3-Pointers: The Nemesis of the Sacramento Kings? Matt George reacts to the Sacramento Kings' 116-96 loss to the San Antonio \nSpurs, where, once again, the Kings struggled to hit shots.","Video: Frankie Cartoscelli on the DeRozan-Fox closing combo & the Kings \nstarters playing big minutes? Sactown Sports' Lead Editor and Kings beat writer Frankie Cartoscelli \njoined The Carmichael Dave Show with Jason Ross to share his thoughts","Kings' three-point problems holding them back? The Sacramento Kings have three players averaging more than 20 points per \ngame and a 6-4 record. But the team's inability to shoot from the","The Sacramento Kings let this happen to them for the first time this season? In their loss to the San Antonio Spurs, the Sacramento Kings had their \nfirst stinker of the 2024-25 season.","Video: Kayte Christensen believes the Kings will turn their three-point \nshooting around? The Sacramento Kings are currently ranked dead last in the NBA in \nthree-point shooting (30.1%). NBC Sports California analyst Kayte","Video: Keegan Murray on the Kings disappointing shooting night against the \nLA Clippers? Sacramento Kings forward Keegan Murray spoke with reporters Saturday \nafternoon, one day before their matchup with the 8-1 Phoenix Suns.","Sacramento Kings Suffer Disappointing Loss to Spurs in Season\u2019s 1st Slip? The Sacramento Kings experienced their first significant loss of the \nseason, falling to the San Antonio Spurs. This defeat marks a sharp","Scotty Pippen Jr. is making a name for himself: Grizzlies guard breaking \nout after Lakers let him get away? In the second year of his professional career, Scotty Pippen Jr. was \nfrustrated. He was 23 years old and tired of being one of best players","Former Lakers Guard Looking Forward to 'Revenge' Game Against LA? Former Lakers guard Scotty Pippen Jr. said he has been looking forward to \nplaying against his former team on the road.","Scotty Pippen Jr. Puts Up 15? Fan easier, fan faster and fan better with Bleacher Report. Keep up with \nthe latest storylines, expert analysis, highlights and scores for","Former Lakers Huff, Pippen Jr. thriving in roles at Memphis? Former Lakers Jay Huff and Scotty Pippen Jr. are making an impact off the \nbench for the Grizzlies, excelling in defined roles.","Southwest Notes: Pippen, Smart, V. Williams, Mavericks, Popovich, Wembanyama? There's extra motivation for Grizzlies point guard Scotty Pippen Jr. any \ntime he faces the Lakers, writes Damichael Cole of The Commercial","Lakers LeBron James\u2019 Exaggerated\u2019 Claims On Scotty Pippen Jr Infuriates Fans? LA Lakers' LeBron James needs no introduction to the world of sports. From \nbeing one of the greatest athletes to applauding and criticizing","Scotty Pippen Jr. Thrives with Grizzlies After Lakers Snub? Scotty Pippen Jr., once overshadowed in the G League, is thriving with the \nMemphis Grizzlies after being offered a two-way contract.","\"I definitely circled it on the calendar.\": Scotty Pippen Jr. on facing the \nLakers, adjusting without Ja Morant and more (Exclusive)? The Los Angeles Lakers may no longer need to worry about facing Memphis \nGrizzlies guard Ja Morant.","LeBron James Makes Scotty Pippen Jr. Statement Before Lakers-Grizzlies? Memphis Grizzlies guard Scotty Pippen Jr. began his NBA career with the Los \nAngeles Lakers. The son of NBA legend Scottie Pippen,","Grizzlies' Scotty Pippen Jr. Says He 'Definitely Circled' Game vs. Lakers \non Calendar? Memphis Grizzlies point guard Scotty Pippen Jr. has been looking forward to \nWednesday's road game against the Los Angeles Lakers for quite","Bucks News: Pistons Forward Ejected After Hard Fouling Giannis Antetokounmpo? Detroit Pistons big man Isaiah Stewart has been eliminated from his team's \nongoing matchup against Central Division rival the Milwaukee","Isaiah Stewart News: Ejected after Flagrant 2? Stewart has been ejected from Wednesday's game against the Bucks after \nbeing issued a Flagrant 2 foul. He finishes the contest with nine","Pistons Player Exits Early After Foul on Bucks\u2019 Giannis Antetokounmpo? The Detroit Pistons will have to close out their Wednesday night matchup \nagainst the Milwaukee Bucks without their backup center,","Bucks-Pistons Went To OT After An All-Time Ball Don\u2019t Lie? The Milwaukee Bucks played host to the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday night, \nand while there is still a ton of basketball left to be played","Isaiah Stewart EJECTED with Flagrant 2 foul for pulling Giannis by the \njersey | NBA on ESPN? Detroit Pistons big man Isaiah Stewart was ejected for pulling on the \njersey of Giannis Antetokounmpo while he was airborne.","What Happened to Giannis Antetokounmpo? Bucks Fans Furious as Isaiah \nStewart\u2019s Vicious Foul Gets Him Ejected? Isaiah Stewart is slowly becoming one of the most talked about players. But \nfor all the wrong reasons. It was only last week that he stared","Pistons' Isaiah Stewart ejected for Flagrant 2 on Bucks' Giannis \nAntetokounmpo? Detroit's Isaiah Stewart was ejected in the third quarter of Wednesday \nnight's game for for committing a Flagrant 2 on Giannis","Pistons' Isaiah Stewart Ejected After Rough Bad Boys Style Foul on Giannis \nAntetokounmpo? The J.B. Bickerstaff era Pistons have brought some semblance of respect \nback to the franchise amid their 5-7 start in the Eastern Conference","Pistons' Isaiah Stewart ejected for Flagrant 2 on Bucks' Giannis \nAntetokounmpo? Detroit's Isaiah Stewart was ejected in the third quarter of Wednesday \nnight's game for for committing a Flagrant 2 on Giannis","Pistons' Isaiah Stewart: Ejected after Flagrant 2? Stewart has been ejected from Wednesday's game against the Bucks after \nbeing issued a Flagrant 2 foul. He finishes the contest with nine"]
Elon Musk launches $52,000,000 SpaceX rockets that could change how we use
the internet forever? SpaceX is launching the next phase of its Starlink mission which could
forever change how we use the internet. We've come a long way since
SpaceX launched new group of Internet satellites? SpaceX's Falcon 9 launch vehicle has launched another 24 Starlink
satellites designed for the orbital grouping of the global InternetKeegan Murray & Jordan McLaughlin | Practice Interviews 11.9.24? Stay connected with the #SacramentoKings: Keegan Murray & Jordan McLaughlin
speak to the media following morning shootaround Wednesday,
Kings' three-point problems holding them back? The Sacramento Kings have three players averaging more than 20 points per
game and a 6-4 record. But the team's inability to shoot from the
Sacramento Kings Suffer Disappointing Loss to Spurs in Season’s 1st Slip? The Sacramento Kings experienced their first significant loss of the
season, falling to the San Antonio Spurs. This defeat marks a sharpFormer Lakers Huff, Pippen Jr. thriving in roles at Memphis? Former Lakers Jay Huff and Scotty Pippen Jr. are making an impact off the
bench for the Grizzlies, excelling in defined roles.
"I definitely circled it on the calendar.": Scotty Pippen Jr. on facing the
Lakers, adjusting without Ja Morant and more (Exclusive)? The Los Angeles Lakers may no longer need to worry about facing Memphis
Grizzlies guard Ja Morant.
Isaiah Stewart News: Ejected after Flagrant 2? Stewart has been ejected from Wednesday's game against the Bucks after
being issued a Flagrant 2 foul. He finishes the contest with nineWhat Happened to Giannis Antetokounmpo? Bucks Fans Furious as Isaiah
Stewart’s Vicious Foul Gets Him Ejected? Isaiah Stewart is slowly becoming one of the most talked about players. But
for all the wrong reasons. It was only last week that he stared
Pistons' Isaiah Stewart: Ejected after Flagrant 2? Stewart has been ejected from Wednesday's game against the Bucks after
being issued a Flagrant 2 foul. He finishes the contest with nine
![Bill Barnwell predicts the NFL playoffs: [608x342]](https://a.espncdn.com/photo/2024/0108/nfl_barnwell-predicts-playoffs_16x9_608x342.jpg)
