2024 NFL playoff picture AFC NFC seed projections chances

We re looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could line up en route to Super Bowl LIX

Bill Barnwell predicts the NFL playoffs: [608x342] (Credit: Illustration by ESPN)

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We're through Week 1 of the 2024 NFL regular season, and while the postseason is still months away, we're taking an early look at the current playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LIX.

Which teams are already in good shape at this point? Which ones still have a lot of work to do to ultimately get into the 14-team field? We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch the division and even make the Super Bowl. Here's everything you need right now.

Last update: Sept. 13 at 8:25 a.m. ET

Jump to a conference: AFC | NFC

Projecting the AFC playoff field

After a close win over the Ravens on the opening night of the NFL season, the Chiefs currently have the league's highest percentage chance to make the playoffs at 91%. Baltimore, despite the win, has the best chance to make the playoffs among 0-1 teams at 60% (eighth-highest overall and fourth-highest in the conference).

But what happened to the Bengals? They entered the season with the fifth-best chance to make the postseason at 66%. After their Week 1 loss to the Patriots, they now rank 10th (and sixth in the AFC) at 45%. Joe Burrow and his Cincinnati team have some work to do.

On Thursday night, the Bills helped their cause by beating the Dolphins on the road. They are now at 78% to make the playoffs (fifth-highest overall and second-best in the AFC), while Miami fell to 54% (ninth overall and fifth in the conference).

New England entered the season with the NFL's lowest odds to make the playoffs, per ESPN's FPI (6%). Now? The Pats are up to 16% -- 28th overall and 14th in the AFC.

Projecting the NFC playoff field

After their win against the Jets on Monday night, the 49ers now have a 84% chance to make the playoffs -- which is tops in the NFC. Detroit rose from 70% to 79% with a Sunday night win over the Rams, and the Eagles sit at 83% after beating the Packers.

The NFC South could be a division to watch. The Falcons came into Week 1 with a 60% chance to make the playoffs and a 34% chance to win the division. Those numbers are now 39% and 24%, respectively, after Pittsburgh stymied the Kirk Cousins-led offense. Meanwhile, the Saints and Buccaneers are both over 50% to make the playoffs after big Week 1 wins.

Things don't look great for the Panthers and Giants. Both teams are below 6% to make the playoffs after just one game. Bryce Young and Daniel Jones combined for zero touchdown throws, four interceptions and nine sacks in their Week 1 outings.

NFL playoff schedule

Jan. 11-13: Wild-card round Jan. 18-19: Divisional round Jan. 26: AFC and NFC championship games Feb. 9: Super Bowl LIX (in New Orleans)

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Nebraska football's hopes for a strong offensive line are diminishing as \nMicah Mazzccua's status remains uncertain.","Friday Flakes: Reported that Nebraska\u2019s Micah Mazzccua is on a Flight to \nSan Francisco Today - So Won\u2019t Play at Purdue? H\/T to @HuskersX for catching this.Tim Verghese, writer for Nebraska \nRivals, said that his co-worker Steve Merritt was at the Omaha airport","Bundesliga Bayern Munich 0 Bayer Leverkusen 1 34 minutes played. In progress? Follow live text commentary, score updates and match stats from Bayern \nMunich vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga.","FC Bayern Munich - Bayer 04 Leverkusen live: Bundesliga - Football? FREE KICK JUST OUTSIDE THE BOX FOR BAYERN. Musiala is brought down on the \nedge of the area by Xhaka. Kompany wants a penalty but it's","Battle of Bundesliga titans? WHAT happens when an immovable object encounters an irresistible force? \nIt's a riddle that physicists have wrestled with for as long as","Leverkusen must address deficiencies to keep free-scoring Bayern at bay? The Bundesliga holders have made a solid but leaky start to their campaign \nbefore Saturday's clash with the habitual champions.","Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen: What will be the key factors in \nSaturday's Bundesliga game involving the top two?? Bayern top the table with a 100 per cent record, while Leverkusen sit \nsecond after winning three of their opening four games.","Bundesliga preview: Wirtz, Musiala headline Bayern-Leverkusen showdown? Pulling the strings in Saturday's early Bundesliga title showdown between \nBayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen will be 21-year-old Germany","Leverkusen will be the true test of Kompany's Bayern revival? Vincent Kompany has Bayern Munich playing football worth celebrating, but \nBayer Leverkusen threaten to put a damper on Oktoberfest's","'No ego' before Alonso clash, says Bayern boss Kompany? Speaking ahead of Saturday's top-of-the-table game, Kompany said taking on \nAlonso -- who Bayern attempted to hire before settling on the","Bayern Munich's Thomas M\u00fcller analyzes looming clash of titans against \nBayer Leverkusen? Bayern Munich prepare to face reigning champions Bayer Leverkusen in what \nis set to be the match of the week. As the clash between the two","Alonso and Bayer Leverkusen aim to spoil Bayern Munich\u2019s Oktoberfest party \nmood? FC Bayern Munich's player Harry Kane, front, and his wife Katie Goodall, \nleft, arrive for a team's visit at the Oktoberfest beer festival in","Arsenal 4-2 Leicester: Stoppage-time goals earn Gunners late victory? Arsenal scored twice in stoppage time to earn a dramatic victory over \nLeicester. A Wilfred Ndidi own goal in the 94th minute and a","Arsenal 4-2 Leicester \u2013 player ratings? Arsenal got themselves into a comfortable position after goals from Gabriel \nMartinelli and Leandro Trossard gave us a 2-0 half-time lead","Arsenal conjure stoppage-time double to thwart Leicester comeback? For Arsenal, it had to be from a corner and, after the week that had gone, \nit had to be Leandro Trossard who made the difference.","'We didn't deserve to suffer that much' - Arsenal goal scorer Gabriel \nMartinelli reacts to win over Leicester? Arsenal survived a nervy second half to defeat visiting Leicester City 4-2 \non Saturday, with the hosts squandering an early two-goal lead","Team news: Raya fit to start against Leicester? Mikel Arteta has named the same 11 players that started against Manchester \nCity last week in his starting line-up for today's Premier League","Arsenal score 2 stoppage-time goals to extinguish Leicester's comeback? Arsenal moved level on points with Manchester City thanks to a last-gasp \n4-2 win against Leicester City on Saturday at the Emirates Stadium.","Arsenal XI vs Leicester: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury \nlatest for Premier League game today? David Raya fit to start in a huge boost for the Gunners.","How to watch Arsenal vs. Leicester in Canada: Live stream, channel, time, \nlineups for Premier League match? Arsenal vs. Leicester kickoff time: Here's how to watch the Premier League \nmatch on TV and live stream in Canada as well as the latest team","Arsenal vs Leicester City highlights - Dramatic Trossard goal seals big win \nafter Man City draw? Live and extensive coverage from Arsenal vs Leicester City at the Emirates \nStadium as the Gunners look to get back to winning ways in the","Arsenal 4-2 Leicester: Player ratings as Trossard saves Gunners against \nFoxes? The Arsenal player ratings from their dramatic 4-2 victory over Leicester \nat the Emirates on Saturday afternoon.","Gary Neville critical of Liverpool ace for what he \u2018stupidly\u2019 did in first \n10 minutes v Wolves? Gary Neville was critical of one Liverpool player for a moment of silliness \nin the early stages of this evening's clash against Wolves.","Gary Neville critical of Liverpool ace for what he \u2018stupidly\u2019 did in first \n10 minutes v Wolves? Gary Neville was critical of one Liverpool player for a moment of silliness \nin the early stages of this evening's clash against Wolves.","The Only Thing This Baylor Defense Is Missing Is Creating Turnovers | \nGrayson Grundhoefer? Grayson Grundhoefer. Sic Em 365 Recruiting Analyst joins 365 Sports to \ndiscuss his thoughts on Baylor's loss to Colorado, his thoughts on","The Only Thing This Baylor Defense Is Missing Is Creating Turnovers | \nGrayson Grundhoefer? Grayson Grundhoefer Sic Em 365 Recruiting Analyst joins 365 Sports to \ndiscuss his thoughts on Baylor's loss to Colorado, his thoughts on","Tim Walz To Meet Young Voters At University Of Michigan Football Game? BELLEVILLE, Mich. (AP) \u2014 Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz is \nset to make his final major campaign appearance before the","Walz attends the University of Michigan football game before final prep for \nTuesday\u2019s debate? ANN ARBOR, Mich. (AP) \u2014 Tim Walz's dual role as Minnesota's governor and \nVice President Kamala Harris' running mate was on full display","Walz Is to Attend the University of Michigan Football Game Before Final \nPrep for Tuesday's Debate? Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz is traveling to Ann Arbor, \nMichigan, to attend a football game between the University of","Walz is to attend the University of Michigan football game before final \nprep for Tuesday's debate? Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz is set to make his final \nmajor campaign appearance before the coming week's debate at a football \ngame","Walz attends the University of Michigan football game before final prep for \nTuesday's debate? Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz has traveled to Ann Arbor, \nMichigan, to attend a football game between the University of","Tim Walz sparks outrage? Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Walz sparks outrage after he \ndecides to attend Saturday's Michigan vs. Minnesota game.","Walz attends the University of Michigan football game before final prep for \nTuesday's debate? Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz has traveled to Ann Arbor, \nMichigan, to attend a football game between the University of","Walz attends the University of Michigan football game before final prep for \nTuesday's debate? Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz has traveled to Ann Arbor, \nMichigan, to attend a football game between the University of","Walz is to attend the University of Michigan football game before final \nprep for Tuesday's debate? Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz is set to make his final \nmajor campaign appearance before the coming week's debate at a","Walz is to attend the University of Michigan football game before final \nprep for Tuesday's debate? BELLEVILLE, Mich. (AP) \u2014 Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz is \nset to make his final ma.","Chelsea 4-2 Brighton: Cole Palmer scores four first-half goals in stunning \nPremier League win? Cole Palmer becomes the first player to score four first-half goals in a \nPremier League game as Chelsea sweep away Brighton in a remarkably","Chelsea vs. Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League: Live blog; highlights? Chelsea look to make it four wins in a row, three in the league, and five \ngames unbeaten overall in all competitions.","The key attacking, defensive and goalkeeping stats behind Chelsea\u2019s good \nstart? Chelsea's stat pack for today's game against Brighton makes fascinating \nreading.The Blues are in good form and the numbers back that up.","How to watch Chelsea vs. Brighton in Canada: Live stream, channel, time, \nlineups for Premier League match? Former champions Chelsea host Brighton in a Premier League fixture on \nSaturday at the Stamford Bridge. Enzo Maresca's team come into the","Confirmed Chelsea line up vs Brighton and Hove Albion | News | Official Site? Enzo Maresca has made ten changes to his Chelsea side for this afternoon's \nPremier League clash against Brighton and Hove Albion at Stamford","Chelsea 4-2 Brighton: Red-hot Cole Palmer drives Blues? Cole Palmer scored four first-half goals in a 20-minute span, making \nPremier League history as Chelsea beat Brighton 4-2 at Stamford Bridge","Premier League Soccer: Livestream Chelsea vs. Brighton From Anywhere? Enzo Maresca's in-form Blues take on the unbeaten Seagulls at Stamford \nBridge.","Noni Madueke and Moises Caicedo drop Chelsea team news hint as Enzo Maresca \nconfirms injury blow? Chelsea will be looking to extend their winning streak when they welcome \nBrighton to Stamford Bridge.","Chelsea boss Maresca speaks on injury prone Lavia? The midfielder has barely featured for the club so far this term, despite \nhaving been fit in preseason. Advertisement. Advertisement.","Liverpool vs. Wolves LIVE STREAM (9\/28\/24): Time, TV, channel for Premier \nLeague? Liverpool faces Wolverhampton in a Premier League game on Saturday, Sept. \n28, 2024 (9\/28\/24) at Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton, England."]

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Battle of Bundesliga titans? WHAT happens when an immovable object encounters an irresistible force? It's a riddle that physicists have wrestled with for as long asLeverkusen will be the true test of Kompany's Bayern revival? Vincent Kompany has Bayern Munich playing football worth celebrating, but Bayer Leverkusen threaten to put a damper on Oktoberfest's

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